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Week 4, Discussion 2
Course: Intro to Biomedical Statistics (BST 322)
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Week 4, Discussion 2:
Regression - What is the predicted optimism score?
Reexamine the women's optimism score data we used in Week 2 Discussion 1. Using this data set, perform a
correlation analysis using age as a predictor of the Optimism Score of all subjects. The data contained was
collected from 1,000 women in the area around downtown Philadelphia.
1. Plot the data with a regression line and perform a regression with the appropriate statistical test in
StatCrunch. Copy and paste your graph and regression output into your Word for posting.
a. See below
2. What is the correlation coefficient r and what is the coefficient of determination here? What does the
coefficient of determination mean in this case?
a. R (correlation coefficient) = -0.157605
b. Coefficient of determination (r2)= 0.024839337, which means that 2.5% of the variation we see
in Optimism Scores can be explained by age. It can also be phrased as, “For women surveyed in
the downtown area of Philadelphia, 2.5% of the Optimism Scores is explained by the age.”
3. Is there a statistically significant correlation between age and optimism in this sample?
a. Yes. We know this because the P-value is less than 0.05 (our P-value is <0.0001), and because
the absolute value of our R value (0.157605) is above the critical value for 998 degrees of
freedom (slightly more than 0.062).
4. What hypotheses did you test?
a. Null Hypothesis: In women living in downtown Philadelphia, there is no correlation between
optimism scores and age.
b. Alternative Hypothesis: In women living in downtown Philadelphia, there is
a correlation
between optimism scores and age.
c. Because the results of our test are significant, we can safely reject the Null Hypothesis and
accept the alternative hypothesis that there is a correlation between age and optimism score of
women living in downtown Philadelphia.
5. Using StatCrunch (be sure to copy and paste your predicted Y output from StatCrunch into your
submission), what is the predicted optimism score for someone aged 45?
a. The predicted Optimism score for a 45-year-old woman living in downtown Philadelphia is
42.316521.
Correlation between Age and Optimism Score is:
-0.157605
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